Alcorcón vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
RJA
1 - 0
ALC
25%
29%
46%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
EIB
1 - 2
ALC
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 1
NUM
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EIB
0 - 0
ALC
28%
29%
43%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 0
ALA
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
GIR
2 - 1
SPO
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
GIR
0 - 0
ALA
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 0
GIR
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 1
SAB
65%
21%
15%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CCF
2 - 0
GIR
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |