Alcorcón vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
38.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 2
FCB
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 1
ALC
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
ALC
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 2
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
0 - 2
GRA
35%
28%
38%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
OSA
1 - 0
ESP
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
4 - 2
VAD
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 0
RJA
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 0
ESP
45%
26%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
RJA
2 - 2
ESP
19%
27%
55%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |