Alcorcón vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
40.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
CCF
1 - 2
ALC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
UCA
53%
29%
18%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CCF
31%
28%
42%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
ESP
1 - 1
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 0
ALA
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2017 |
ALA
1 - 1
DEP
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
ATH
0 - 0
ALA
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2017 |
DEP
2 - 2
ALA
63%
22%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2016 |
ALA
3 - 0
GIM
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |