Saluzzo vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+211%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saluzzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FOS
1 - 0
ACS
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FOL
2 - 2
BOR
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SCA
0 - 1
FOL
43%
26%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
3 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FOL
2 - 0
USP
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
INV
2 - 1
FOL
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -1 |