Ghiroda vs CSM Lugoj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSM Lugoj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
INE
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PER
0 - 1
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 0
NAI
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
HUN
2 - 1
LUG
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
PAN
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -2 |