Third Division ACFF Round 9

Acren Lessines vs Union Saint-Gilloise II analysis

Acren Lessines Union Saint-Gilloise II
44 ELO 40
24% Tilt 10.3%
3811º General ELO ranking 3836º
77º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
57.6%
Acren Lessines
20.6%
Draw
21.8%
Union Saint-Gilloise II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
Acren Lessines
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.8%
Win probability
Union Saint-Gilloise II
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Acren Lessines
+13%
+22%
Union Saint-Gilloise II

Points and table prediction

Acren Lessines
Their league position
Union Saint-Gilloise II
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
18º
13º
38
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Warnant
72
73
100%
Union Namur
59
62
79%
La Louvière Centre
56
62
60%
Tubize
58
59
44.5%
Meux
56
57
74%
Binche
55
55
100%
Verlaine
51
51
30.5%
Rebecq
50
51
31%
Stockay-Warfusée
50
51
30.5%
Stade Disonais
10º
47
48
10º
54%
Hamoir
11º
45
46
11º
65.5%
Ganshoren
12º
44
44
12º
0%
Acren Lessines
13º
44
44
13º
0%
Union Saint-Gilloise II
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Jette
15º
32
32
15º
91.5%
Solières Sport
16º
31
31
16º
91.5%
Seraing B
17º
24
25
17º
100%
Waremme
18º
19
19
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Acren Lessines
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Acren Lessines
Union Saint-Gilloise II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Acren Lessines
Acren Lessines
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
REB
Rebecq
1 - 2
Acren Lessines
ACR
60%
20%
20%
41 46 5 0
09 Oct. 2022
ACR
Acren Lessines
2 - 0
Seraing B
SER
60%
20%
20%
41 39 2 0
02 Oct. 2022
ACR
Acren Lessines
0 - 3
Stade Disonais
STA
49%
23%
28%
42 45 3 -1
25 Sep. 2022
GAN
Ganshoren
1 - 3
Acren Lessines
ACR
56%
23%
21%
41 47 6 +1
18 Sep. 2022
ACR
Acren Lessines
2 - 1
Waremme
WAR
65%
17%
18%
40 36 4 +1

Matches

Union Saint-Gilloise II
Union Saint-Gilloise II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2022
SGI
Union Saint-Gilloise II
0 - 2
Hamoir
HAM
34%
23%
42%
43 46 3 0
08 Oct. 2022
SOL
Solières Sport
0 - 3
Union Saint-Gilloise II
SGI
49%
23%
28%
42 41 1 +1
01 Oct. 2022
SGI
Union Saint-Gilloise II
0 - 1
Verlaine
VER
53%
23%
24%
43 41 2 -1
25 Sep. 2022
STO
Stockay-Warfusée
3 - 1
Union Saint-Gilloise II
SGI
22%
23%
55%
45 34 11 -2
17 Sep. 2022
SGI
Union Saint-Gilloise II
2 - 2
Meux
MEU
21%
22%
58%
45 54 9 0