Acireale vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2004 |
BEN
0 - 1
ACI
22%
27%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ACI
1 - 0
GIU
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
FER
1 - 2
ACI
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ACI
0 - 0
FCC
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 4
ACI
30%
27%
42%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2004 |
SSS
2 - 3
CRO
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PAT
1 - 4
SSS
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SSS
3 - 2
CHI
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
LAQ
1 - 1
SSS
27%
29%
44%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
VIR
1 - 1
SSS
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |