Acireale vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
4 - 0
ACI
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
ACI
47%
26%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
ACI
3 - 0
SPC
46%
27%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
EBO
1 - 0
ACI
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 0
NIS
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
REA
0 - 1
NOT
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 0
CIT
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
NOT
0 - 1
ASD
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |