Acireale vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MES
2 - 0
ACI
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
ASD
43%
29%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 0
ACI
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
ACI
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 0
SER
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASD
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 4
SER
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NOT
2 - 3
MAR
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACR
46%
25%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |