Acireale vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FCC
1 - 0
ACI
44%
27%
28%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
ACI
2 - 0
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
CHI
5 - 0
ACI
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 0
TER
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
SOR
1 - 1
ACI
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
FER
1 - 1
VIS
49%
27%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 0
FER
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
FER
1 - 1
TAR
48%
27%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2004 |
SSS
5 - 0
FER
59%
25%
17%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
TER
1 - 2
FER
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | +2 |