Achuapa vs Carchá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achuapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
PET
1 - 2
ACH
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ACH
0 - 0
COB
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
DEP
3 - 1
ACH
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
ACH
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ACH
3 - 1
TEC
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 2
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
TEC
0 - 1
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
CON
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
IZA
1 - 1
CAR
22%
24%
53%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 2
SAC
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |