Achilles 29 vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
BAB
0 - 1
ACH
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ACH
1 - 3
HSC
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
RKH
1 - 1
ACH
20%
22%
58%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
DET
4 - 1
ACH
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ACH
3 - 0
WKE
42%
24%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
QUI
2 - 1
DET
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
QUI
0 - 1
BAB
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
HSC
2 - 3
QUI
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ROH
1 - 0
QUI
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
QUI
3 - 0
RKH
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |