Achilles 29 vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
FCO
2 - 2
ACH
63%
20%
17%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
JON
2 - 1
ACH
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 0
ACH
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
ACH
1 - 1
EIN
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
ACH
2 - 0
PSV
43%
24%
33%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
FCE
2 - 3
NEC
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
NEC
5 - 2
PSV
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
FOR
0 - 3
NEC
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NEC
3 - 1
HEL
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
RKC
0 - 2
NEC
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |