Achilles '12 vs SDOUC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
JON
2 - 4
ACH
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 1
DEB
22%
22%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ALV
0 - 2
ACH
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 2
TUB
44%
24%
32%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GLA
3 - 0
ACH
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SDOUC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SDO
3 - 1
ENS
50%
23%
27%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DEZ
1 - 4
SDO
24%
23%
54%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SDO
0 - 2
RHE
69%
18%
13%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SDO
1 - 0
JON
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
DEB
3 - 2
SDO
64%
20%
16%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |