Achilles '12 vs Go Ahead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
63.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+98%
+51%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
14º
9º
43
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Achilles '12
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
3 - 2
ACH
52%
20%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
QUI
6 - 0
ACH
93%
5%
2%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ACH
1 - 2
DZO
45%
22%
34%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ACH
2 - 1
RIG
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
ACH
79%
14%
7%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GOA
1 - 2
DZO
74%
14%
12%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
VVH
2 - 4
GOA
42%
22%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GOA
3 - 3
SVZ
44%
22%
35%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
GOA
2 - 2
SDV
42%
23%
36%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 1
GOA
18%
20%
63%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |