CD Acero vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+254%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Acero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
JOV
5 - 1
ACE
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ACE
0 - 1
PAT
77%
16%
8%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
UTI
3 - 1
ACE
46%
24%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
ACE
2 - 0
NOV
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CRE
0 - 0
ACE
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
RIB
56%
25%
20%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 1
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CUL
2 - 2
NOV
26%
24%
51%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 3
VAR
49%
24%
26%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 2
NOV
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |