ACE Maseru vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+61%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACE Maseru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MAT
3 - 0
ACM
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
LDF
3 - 0
ACM
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LCS
2 - 0
ACM
75%
16%
10%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2023 |
ACM
1 - 1
NBF
36%
22%
42%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
ACM
73%
16%
10%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
LIO
2 - 0
MFC
60%
21%
20%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 1
LIO
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 2
LFC
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
LIO
1 - 1
LMP
50%
27%
24%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 0
LIO
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |