Accrington Stanley vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
ROT
47%
24%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GIL
1 - 1
STA
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
CUM
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 0
STA
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STA
2 - 1
BUR
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 0
CRE
43%
24%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CRE
3 - 1
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CRE
3 - 1
OXF
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
BCF
0 - 0
CRE
55%
23%
23%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
PLY
0 - 1
CRE
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |