Acatlan vs CD Chilpancingo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
54.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+173%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
10º
12º
11º
18
2º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 20 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 20 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 18 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 17 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 4 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acatlan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 6
AFC
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
DEV
7 - 0
AFC
73%
17%
11%
|
19 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
AFC
0 - 4
MON
19%
21%
60%
|
20 | 57 | 37 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 3
COL
16%
17%
67%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
3 - 2
LCU
21%
24%
56%
|
19 | 64 | 45 | +1 |
Matches
CD Chilpancingo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
2 - 1
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
JAG
6 - 1
CDC
69%
20%
11%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CDC
3 - 0
ZIT
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PDC
2 - 0
CDC
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 2
CDC
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |