Academy vs Elite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
GEO
2 - 2
ACA
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
CAY
4 - 0
ACA
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ACA
0 - 5
SCH
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 3
BOD
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
TIG
3 - 3
ACA
40%
23%
37%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
BOD
3 - 1
ELI
54%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2013 |
ELI
0 - 0
TIG
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2013 |
NSI
4 - 5
ELI
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2013 |
ELI
2 - 4
SCH
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
GEO
1 - 2
ELI
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |