Académica vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.8%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
24.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1947 |
SLE
3 - 2
ACA
70%
15%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
FCP
4 - 2
ACA
73%
13%
14%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 3
SCP
19%
17%
64%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
BEL
5 - 1
ACA
81%
11%
9%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
ACA
3 - 2
ATL
51%
19%
30%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1947 |
VST
1 - 1
SCP
18%
18%
65%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1947 |
BEL
3 - 2
VST
80%
12%
9%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1947 |
VST
2 - 3
ATL
53%
20%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1947 |
FAM
2 - 1
VST
48%
20%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1947 |
VST
3 - 0
SAN
83%
11%
7%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |