Académica vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
FAB
1 - 0
ACA
59%
21%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
ACA
1 - 0
SCP
26%
23%
51%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
LGC
5 - 1
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
ACA
2 - 3
VST
56%
21%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
FCP
1 - 1
ACA
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
VIT
3 - 0
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
VIT
8 - 0
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
FAB
1 - 2
VIT
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1958 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCP
26%
24%
51%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
LGC
0 - 3
VIT
60%
20%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |