Académica vs Uniao Tomar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 1
FAB
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
VIT
2 - 1
ACA
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 0
SCP
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
ATL
0 - 4
ACA
22%
26%
53%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
ACA
0 - 0
VAR
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Uniao Tomar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
UFT
3 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
FAB
2 - 0
UFT
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
UFT
0 - 0
VST
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1969 |
VIT
3 - 0
UFT
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1969 |
UFT
1 - 1
SPB
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |