Académica vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
26.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
18%
23%
59%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
ACA
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ACA
0 - 1
RIO
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
UDL
2 - 1
PAÇ
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2010 |
NAV
1 - 0
UDL
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2010 |
UDL
2 - 1
LEX
52%
27%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2010 |
UDL
0 - 1
VIT
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
UDL
3 - 3
VST
54%
26%
21%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |