Académica vs Sporting CP II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
6º
1º
30
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 30 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
30 | 30 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ACA
1 - 0
OLI
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
AMO
0 - 2
ACA
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ACA
2 - 0
ALV
47%
25%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
1DE
0 - 1
ACA
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
ACA
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting CP II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 1
ATL
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 1
SCP
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SCP
2 - 2
SPC
24%
24%
52%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AMO
3 - 2
SCP
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PER
3 - 3
SCP
37%
26%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |