Académica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BEN
3 - 1
ACA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 4
FAM
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
SPC
0 - 0
FAR
30%
28%
43%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MAF
1 - 1
SPC
47%
27%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
TRO
3 - 0
SPC
20%
27%
53%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SER
0 - 0
SPC
9%
16%
75%
|
59 | 29 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
NAC
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |