Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
UNM
3 - 1
ACA
43%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
16%
23%
62%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 1
ACA
60%
24%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
13%
22%
65%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
3 - 2
ACA
52%
27%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2016 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPB
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2016 |
SPB
3 - 2
VST
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
SPB
40%
27%
34%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
SPB
3 - 0
TON
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
SHA
4 - 0
SPB
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |