Académica vs O Elvas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
FAR
1 - 2
ACA
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 1
MAR
54%
27%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
VAR
2 - 0
ACA
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCP
19%
30%
51%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
SPB
0 - 0
ACA
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
O Elvas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1986 |
OEL
0 - 0
SAL
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
RIO
1 - 1
OEL
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
OEL
1 - 2
CHA
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1986 |
VIT
1 - 0
OEL
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
OEL
0 - 2
SLB
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |