Académica vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
59.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 5
ACA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 0
BOA
27%
28%
45%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 1
VIT
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2004 |
SLB
2 - 0
ACA
81%
14%
5%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ACA
1 - 2
UDL
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 1
MUD
30%
25%
45%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
41%
25%
34%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 2
FCP
22%
25%
54%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
FCP
2 - 1
UDL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |