Académica vs Fafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
15.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
VIZ
0 - 1
ACA
33%
30%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ACA
1 - 2
COV
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FAM
2 - 1
ACA
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
ACA
2 - 0
SPC
53%
27%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 1
ACA
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FAF
1 - 2
UNM
37%
27%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
FAF
68%
21%
12%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
FAF
3 - 3
PEN
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
LEX
1 - 1
FAF
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
FAF
1 - 2
OLH
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |