Académica vs Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
80%
14%
6%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
ACA
1 - 1
VAR
53%
27%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
MAR
4 - 1
ACA
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
ACA
2 - 1
SAL
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
SLB
1 - 1
ACA
79%
16%
6%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1997 |
EST
1 - 0
VST
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
CAM
2 - 0
EST
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
EST
2 - 1
LEC
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
EST
1 - 1
BEL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
FCP
4 - 0
EST
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |