Académica vs Boavista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
28.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
SAL
2 - 1
ACA
50%
28%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1986 |
ACA
2 - 0
RIO
50%
28%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
CHA
1 - 1
ACA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 1
VIT
40%
29%
31%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
SLB
2 - 0
ACA
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Boavista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1986 |
MAR
2 - 2
BOA
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1986 |
BOA
4 - 0
SAL
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
BOA
0 - 0
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
RIO
3 - 2
BOA
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
BOA
1 - 1
FCP
25%
29%
45%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |