Académica vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
59%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 1
ACA
49%
24%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FCP
4 - 1
ACA
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
BOA
0 - 0
ACA
61%
24%
16%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
SLB
2 - 1
GFC
76%
17%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 0
RAA
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 4
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
RAA
1 - 1
SLB
22%
24%
53%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | -1 |