Academia Albiceleste vs Sagreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Academia Albiceleste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 2
AAL
9%
18%
73%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ATG
0 - 0
AAL
7%
17%
76%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AAL
5 - 1
CBA
69%
19%
12%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ATA
1 - 3
AAL
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
AAL
1 - 1
GPR
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sagreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SAG
4 - 1
HOR
79%
14%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SAG
2 - 2
YEP
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
0 - 1
SAG
22%
23%
56%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SAG
2 - 1
CBA
60%
21%
20%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ATA
4 - 0
SAG
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -2 |