Acacia Ridge vs St George Willawong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
66.6%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-100%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Acacia Ridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
TLA
0 - 0
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
5 - 2
STO
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
4 - 0
GAP
78%
13%
9%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
MGH
1 - 0
ACA
27%
22%
52%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
ACA
5 - 0
UNI
69%
16%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
WES
1 - 3
GEO
7%
12%
82%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
GEO
7 - 1
GAP
90%
7%
3%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
NEW
7 - 3
GEO
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -3 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
PIN
2 - 3
GEO
17%
18%
65%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
GEO
2 - 0
BAY
64%
19%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |