Vert-Pré vs Case-Pilote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
6º
4º
14
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vert-Pré
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
GOO
0 - 1
AVP
12%
16%
72%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AVP
2 - 0
TRE
65%
18%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GOL
2 - 1
AVP
42%
23%
36%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AVP
2 - 0
CPE
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVP
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Case-Pilote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
ASP
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
USR
1 - 1
CAS
31%
25%
45%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 2
RCS
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAS
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVP
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |