Prato vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
50.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
USA
2 - 2
ACP
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
ACP
2 - 1
OLB
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
PON
1 - 0
ACP
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
ACP
1 - 3
LIV
23%
26%
51%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
LRO
0 - 1
ACP
37%
26%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
USC
1 - 0
LRO
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
USC
3 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 2
USC
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
USC
1 - 1
PON
68%
19%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PIS
3 - 1
USC
25%
27%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |