Prato vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BSD
1 - 1
ACP
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ACP
3 - 0
TRI
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 2
ACP
39%
25%
37%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ACP
1 - 4
RAV
14%
22%
65%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 2
ACP
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
FOR
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
0 - 0
BAG
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SER
3 - 1
PRO
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 0
LEN
15%
21%
64%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +5 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
2 - 1
PRO
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |