Prato vs Sangiustese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
FAN
2 - 1
ACP
49%
24%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ACP
1 - 1
SAC
42%
26%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
VIN
1 - 3
ACP
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
ACP
2 - 5
FCV
39%
27%
34%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ACP
4 - 0
NOC
34%
28%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Sangiustese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
ACG
44%
25%
31%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAN
59%
22%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASG
48%
25%
27%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
USP
0 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
PRO
35%
26%
39%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |