Prato vs Alcione analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
17%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ACS
0 - 2
ACP
37%
27%
36%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
RIM
3 - 0
ACP
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LEN
5 - 1
ACP
46%
26%
28%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
ACP
4 - 0
SER
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
ACP
60%
23%
17%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alcione
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 1
ALC
43%
22%
35%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 1
FOR
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
ALC
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
ACM
5 - 1
ALC
95%
4%
1%
|
28 | 88 | 60 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
ALC
14%
19%
67%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | -1 |