Pouzauges-Réaumur vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
3º
13º
13º
28
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
91.5% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 40 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 39 |
7º
|
56.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
79.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 22 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 79.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pouzauges-Réaumur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LRO
1 - 3
ACP
65%
19%
17%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LAV
3 - 0
ACP
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
ACP
34%
23%
44%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
LPS
2 - 1
ACP
52%
22%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ACP
2 - 1
SAB
51%
22%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SPG
4 - 2
SAB
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ESO
2 - 1
SPG
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SPG
0 - 1
SNA
39%
23%
39%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAB
1 - 1
SPG
58%
19%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SPG
2 - 0
LAV
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +3 |