Pavia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
44.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CRE
3 - 2
PAV
29%
22%
49%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PAV
3 - 2
CLA
90%
8%
3%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
PAV
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
PSM
1 - 2
PAV
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
PAV
1 - 3
FAN
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
REG
1 - 0
LEN
76%
17%
7%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
FIO
0 - 0
REG
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
REG
5 - 0
PER
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CLA
1 - 3
REG
7%
14%
78%
|
48 | 19 | 29 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
REG
1 - 1
SAN
76%
17%
7%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |