AC Paranavaí vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Paranavaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2011 |
IRA
1 - 1
ACP
48%
24%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
5 - 0
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ATP
2 - 1
ACP
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
4 - 0
ACP
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
ACP
1 - 2
OPE
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
OPE
3 - 0
MIR
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 1
OPE
55%
23%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
OPE
1 - 0
CAC
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
OES
0 - 1
OPE
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
OPE
0 - 2
OES
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |