AC Montichiari vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
USA
1 - 1
ACM
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 3
NOV
18%
24%
58%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ACM
1 - 2
PAV
49%
25%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
COM
0 - 0
ACM
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2008 |
ASS
0 - 0
ACM
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
VAR
2 - 0
FCS
59%
24%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FSD
0 - 1
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VAR
3 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 0
VAR
38%
29%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
PAV
1 - 1
VAR
43%
27%
31%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |