Serie B Round 4

Mantova vs Reggina analysis

Mantova Reggina
69 ELO 56
-13.1% Tilt -30.4%
1038º General ELO ranking 580º
50º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
70.6%
Mantova
20.3%
Draw
9%
Reggina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
Mantova
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
9%
Win probability
Reggina
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mantova
+3%
+1%
Reggina

ELO progression

Mantova
Reggina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 1972
COM
Como
1 - 0
Mantova
MAN
52%
29%
19%
71 68 3 0
24 Sep. 1972
MAN
Mantova
0 - 0
AC Monza
ASS
68%
22%
11%
71 59 12 0
17 Sep. 1972
NOV
Novara
0 - 0
Mantova
MAN
48%
30%
22%
71 63 8 0
10 Sep. 1972
COM
Como
1 - 1
Mantova
MAN
54%
24%
22%
71 67 4 0
06 Sep. 1972
MAN
Mantova
0 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
59%
22%
19%
72 74 2 -1

Matches

Reggina
Reggina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 1972
REG
Reggina
1 - 1
Brindisi
BRI
58%
23%
19%
55 51 4 0
24 Sep. 1972
USF
Calcio Foggia
1 - 0
Reggina
REG
73%
19%
9%
56 67 11 -1
17 Sep. 1972
REG
Reggina
0 - 1
Catania
CAT
37%
33%
30%
56 66 10 0
10 Sep. 1972
ATL
Atalanta
5 - 0
Reggina
REG
66%
20%
14%
57 74 17 -1
06 Sep. 1972
REG
Reggina
0 - 2
Roma
ROM
26%
27%
47%
58 82 24 -1