Mantova vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
LEC
0 - 5
MAN
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
MAN
1 - 0
GEN
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
LIV
1 - 0
MAN
44%
29%
27%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
MAN
1 - 0
NOV
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
USA
0 - 0
MAN
37%
31%
32%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1966 |
MOD
0 - 0
ASS
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1966 |
NOV
1 - 1
MOD
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1966 |
LEC
2 - 1
MOD
65%
23%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
MOD
4 - 0
USA
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
MES
0 - 0
MOD
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |