Mantova vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ACD
3 - 0
MAN
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
ACS
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
REN
2 - 2
MAN
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ACG
2 - 2
MAN
16%
24%
61%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOR
2 - 4
PRO
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 0
TRE
21%
26%
54%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 3
BOR
46%
25%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BOR
1 - 2
USA
24%
27%
50%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
RIM
2 - 0
BOR
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |