Mantova vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
34.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
SPE
0 - 1
MAN
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MAN
1 - 0
CHI
25%
28%
48%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
LEC
1 - 1
MAN
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 1
ASC
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
FRO
2 - 1
MAN
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2008 |
BOL
3 - 0
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 0
BOL
32%
29%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 0
VIC
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
ABN
1 - 0
BOL
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 1
BAR
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |