Lumezzane vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
ACL
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
ACL
0 - 1
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
FER
2 - 1
ACL
27%
29%
44%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ACL
2 - 1
PRO
63%
22%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
GIU
0 - 0
ACL
39%
29%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 1
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 0
LAZ
14%
23%
63%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 1
CTT
58%
24%
19%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PIZ
1 - 1
CTT
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 1
GEN
25%
27%
48%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |