Lumezzane vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 0
ACL
34%
29%
38%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
ACL
1 - 0
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ASL
3 - 1
ACL
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PIS
0 - 1
ACL
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ACL
2 - 1
SPA
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 3
CES
33%
28%
39%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PAV
0 - 3
SPE
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SAS
3 - 0
PAV
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PAV
1 - 0
ACP
51%
24%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAV
65%
21%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |